The revolution that forgot about the people
At least nobody has asked me – living in the Netherlands – to pay in Swiss francs yet. Today, at the hairdresser’s, after the habitual chat about the weather, the inevitable subject came up: the euro crisis. Today’s panicky atmosphere in the eurozone, on the eve of the currency’s tenth anniversary, is the culmination of a decade of complaints. She summed them up neatly.
‘So how about that crisis? For me, they needn’t have bothered introducing the euro.’
Me: ‘But surely, it will cost us a lot if we go back to the guilder.’
‘I think so. Well, we are used to the euro by now.’
Me: ‘Do you still calculate in guilders sometimes?’
‘Not anymore, during the first years I did. Well, sometimes, with a high amount. Like recently, my little dog´s vaccination, that cost me 60 euros, and then I think: that´s more than 130 guilders. And it used to be 50 guilders. And all shopping gets more expensive too, especially food.
But although people complain about the crisis, we still live well. If you see what people can buy nowadays, my grandchildren for instance, then our lives have definitely improved. And maybe this is also due to the euro. And I must admit: it’s easy when you go abroad.
But you can say whatever you think, they do what they want anyway.’
Me: ‘So do you want me to pay in guilders?’
‘No, let’s stick to the euro. I don’t believe in a way back.’
Europe’s sovereign debt crisis receives plenty of media coverage, but much of it is abstract and focuses on politicians, markets, banks and economic analyses. This way, we easily forget that over 330 million people use the euro every day. How do they feel about the currency? When I teach about the European Union, I often ask students which tangible achievements they see in their lives that the Union has given them. My students are from all over Europe. They always mention two things: the freedom to cross the internal borders without checks (with some exceptions), and the euro. Undoubtedly, the common market has brought us Europeans much more, but it is just so hard to see it. Free trade has brought us wealth, but there is no comparison, no ‘parallel Europe’ in which countries have decided to keep 27 isolated markets, and time accordingly has gone slower. We see more foreign products around us, and they are probably cheaper because of competition, but we are used to them – so actually we don’t see them. Europe has given us rights, as workers or as students, but we do not remember the time we – or our parents – did not have these rights yet. So it is understandable that proponents of European integration wanted a symbol.
‘The greatest economic experiment in history’
In a Dutch economics magazine dated 22 December 2001, nine days before the introduction of euro notes and coins, I read it was going to be a revolution, ‘the largest economic experiment of all time.’ The magazine itself has ceased to be, which only adds to the nostalgic value of the article. I do not think the euro was a larger experiment than communism, but nevertheless it was an extraordinary experiment and a revolution: it is, after all, the world’s second largest currency. However, it was a revolution from the top down.
The euro did have economic benefits, but they were not that great, especially compared to the common market’s. And governments never quite explained these gains to their citizens before the euro was introduced – at least in the Netherlands they did not. The Dutch worried that inflation would rise in a monetary union, because other countries’ governments had less fiscal discipline. Our carefully saved pension funds could lose value. And on the other hand, economists pointed out that less productive nations would lose the opportunity to devalue their currency to promote export.
For those reasons, countries agreed on convergence criteria and on the Stability and Growth Pact, which both oblige the euro members to keep their deficits and debts in check. But a year after the euro’s introduction, Germany and France flouted the rules and the other countries did not push for a penalty. Two years later, they all made the pact more flexible. Of course, by now we know that this was not a good idea.
Experiment succeeded?
Nowadays, almost ten years after we started to use euro coins and notes, only a minority of those 330 million users believe the currency is good for their economies. They have been sceptical from the beginning. ‘Since the euro, prices are much higher,’ is a remark I have often heard from people around me. Research seems to largely contradict these inflation complaints. Other research concludes that the euro has stimulated growth. But so far, with the costs of the crisis in mind, we cannot call the euro an economic success. And as a political project and a symbol for European integration, the balance until now is negative. The euro crisis proves that European integration is not yet up to the test. Europe’s citizens did not have a voice, and now the crisis is driving them apart.
The monetary union was an agreement between governments, which each reeled in the best possible deal for their country. However, such a package deal does not automatically get you the best monetary system. If these governments had been under a stronger obligation to explain to their citizens why they should have a single currency to begin with, they would have had an incentive to think it through again.
This is the danger of great social experiments and top-down revolutions. They tend to be over-ambitious. The ‘visionaries’ and wheeler-dealers that launch them, often avoid the discussion and deliberation that is so much needed, and the great scheme backfires.
But just when it seems that Europe’s politicians are beginning to understand this, the euro crisis calls for a stronger Europe – again. Let’s hope that once more its citizens will have the understanding to tolerate this.
Longer version of the article that was published in the Globe and Mail on 11 October.


